Fed Watch is a macro podcast with a clear contrarian thesis of a deflationary breakdown of the financial system leading to bitcoin adoption. We question narratives and schools of thought, and try to form new understanding. Each episode we use current events to question mainstream and bitcoin narratives across the globe, with an emphasis on central banks and currencies.
In this episode, we discuss US CPI for January 2023 and use different commodities and macro prices and indicators to understand and interpret the data. We look at things like the bitcoin price, the dollar, energy and shipping costs. The latter two were the main drivers behind the 2021-2022 CPI rises.
What we found was that there are no price pressures whatsoever in the economy. Nothing that could duplicate the effects from the last couple of years.
We also talk about the updates to the CPI calculations and try to come to a conclusion, whether they pushed CPI higher in January or lower.
Then we get into a new policy statement by the ECB, which threatens European banks that, although not legally binding and not even through the approval process, banks must comply with the new Basel limits on bitcoin in reserves. Of course, this is crazy, and going to lead to tons of problems when bitcoin pumps.
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Find More and Links
- Slide deck
- US January CPI release
- ECB threatens banks
- Bitcoin Magazine coverage of Basel tiers for bitcoin
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